UFC 111 Main Event Breakdown: Georges St. Pierre vs. Dan Hardy

Mike Chiappettaby Mike Chiappetta

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NEWARK, N.J. — The numbers may say otherwise, but if Dan Hardy finds a way to beat Georges St. Pierre at UFC 111, it will be the biggest MMA championship upset of all time. Bigger than Matt Serra beating GSP? Yes. While Serra was a bigger underdog on paper than Hardy is now, at least we knew then that Serra had the ability to go bell-to-bell with an elite-level fighter like B.J. Penn (even though Penn was early in his career, it was already obvious he was something special). We also knew he was good enough to knock down the usually iron-jawed Karo Parisyan, had durability, a strong ground game and a record of being a fierce competitor.

Hardy has nothing to apologize for on his resume, but you can’t find anyone on his record that has ever been considered elite. His best win is over Mike Swick, and while that’s a solid victory, it is a long leap from Swick to St. Pierre. In fact, there is no measurable way in which you could give Hardy an overall edge against St. Pierre.

Does that mean he can’t win? Of course not. This sport has too many variables and the athletes bring too many X-factors to possibly predict every development before it happens. But every measurable also makes it very clear that St. Pierre’s status as a heavy favorite is quite well deserved.

UFC 111 Main Event Breakdown: Georges St. Pierre vs. Dan Hardy originally appeared on MMA Fighting on Sat, 27 Mar 2010 10:51:00 EST . Please see our terms for use of feeds.

 

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